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选情观察：彰化县长“背刺”郑丽文，蓝营或再演“陈明文式”噩梦_我的网站

一 |     AI摘要      国民党彰化选战生变，现任县长王惠美拒挺党提名人魏平政，反与民进党高层互动。    Dhaka, Oct 9 (UNI) Teesta is one of the 54 rivers that enter Bangladesh from India. After originating from Solamo Lake in India, it flows over Sikkim and West Bengal and enters Bangladesh through Rangpur region.

Later it joins the Brahmaputra river near Chilmari in Kurigram district. For many years there has been a demand for a Teesta agreement on the sharing of Teesta water. But the agreement is stuck due to India's delay and various excuses. Because of this, the people of the northern part of Rangpur Bangladesh are now dreaming about the Teesta Master Plan.

The Teesta Agreement was to be signed during the then Prime Minister of India Manmohan Singh's visit to Dhaka in 2011. But it stalled in the face of opposition from West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee. Then in 2015 Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Bangladesh with Mamata Banerjee. There he assured that a compromise would be reached on Teesta water sharing. But the Teesta problem has not been solved.

During the last Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's visit to India, there was a possibility of reaching a settlement on Teesta water distribution, but it did not happen.

In addition to the construction of various infrastructure related to Teesta coast management, flood control dams and various types of infrastructure will be built to eliminate water shortage during summer. Since Bangladesh has a long-standing dispute with India over Teesta water sharing, arrangements will be made to retain water during the dry season. Among the issues that have dominated the project so far, three are important—dredging the riverbed, revetment or embankment repair and embankment, and land reclamation. Apart from this, there are also plans to repair flood dams.

If this project named 'Teesta a River Comprehensive Management and Restoration' is implemented, a 220 km high guide dam, river drive, hotel-motel-restaurant, modern city and tourist center will be developed along both the right and left banks of the Teesta river. Along with that, 150 MW solar power plant, industrial plant, EPZ will be built.

Apart from this, several lakh hectares of agricultural land will be saved and afforested. Under this project, the main stream of Teesta will be two kilometers, which will maintain navigability throughout the year. It will be connected by several canals, which will benefit crores of people of Teestapar. It is said that the two banks of the Teesta will be modernized on the model of China's Huang Ho River and Suqian City through the master plan. There will be Marine Drive on both sides of the embankment. Modern irrigation projects and agricultural farms with machinery will be built. At the same time satellite cities will be built on both banks of the river.

The two banks of the Teesta will be developed on the model of Suqian City in East China's Jiangsu Province. For this, approximately 9 thousand crore taka can be spent. The project is named Teesta River Comprehensive Management and Restoration'. Since then, days go by, months go by, years go by and years come. However, the much-desired great plan has not started.

Chinese Ambassador Li Jiming visited the Teesta Barrage on Sunday, October 9.

At this time, he listened to the hopes and aspirations of the people of the area. A large number of local people, civil society and administration people were present.

It is noted that, Rangpur is the poorest division of Bangladesh. And five of the country's poorest and most impoverished districts are located across the ravaged Teesta. Pagla river famous Teesta Lalmonirhat, Nilphamari, Rangpur, Kurigram and Gaibandha districts is the name of the misery of millions of people. The flow of the 234-year-old Teesta is causing floods and droughts every year in these five districts. People's sighs are getting heavier because of this, the life cycles of both sides are constantly changing.

UNI BAV SHK1835。因初选协调失当引发内讧，蓝营担忧重现“陈明文模式”，恐致中台湾执政版图崩盘。         台湾地区“九合一”选举逼近，国民党在“中台湾”最不能输的一战——彰化县长选战中，偏偏裂开了最要命的缝。

二 |     国民党主席郑丽文三度南下彰化，为蓝营县长参选人魏平政站台造势，猛夸现任县长王惠美政绩。可王惠美这位手握全台最大县域资源的蓝营女将，三次拒绝与郑丽文同台，反而接连与赖清德、卓荣泰同框，亲绿姿态毫不遮掩。    作为执掌彰化八年的国民党地方大佬，王惠美是国民党稳固“中台湾”腹地的关键人物。八年来，她依托国民党的资源、派系助力与蓝营选民支持，坐稳县长宝座、积累雄厚政治资本，如今任期将尽，却被质疑“不挺自家人”，甚至与民进党暗通款曲。    岛内媒体人黄光芹更质疑，王惠美很可能是希望赖清德将其提拔“入阁”，寻求个人在年底卸任县长后的“政治第二春”。黄光芹直言，如果是这样，王惠美就是典型的投机者，毫无政治风骨与政党忠诚度。    王惠美不支持，是国民党本次彰化选情拉抬不上来的关键。但深究根源，国民党主席郑丽文初选过程中协调失当是重要原因。    今年初彰化县长提名，原本实力最强的民代谢衣凤因家族内耗（姐弟争权、舍姐保弟）被牺牲，国民党中央没有举办民调决胜负，而选择“空降”基层号召力薄弱的魏平政，直接引爆“反胃大联盟”，地方桩脚公开拒挺。    郑丽文既未在派系内耗时强势斡旋，也未在征召阶段拿出服众人选，等到民调崩盘才南下“救火”。国民党中央调度慢半拍、提名决策两头不讨好，王惠美心里的账本，就从“帮党交棒”改成“你负我责任，莫怪我自保”。    现在国民党内担忧王惠美会在某个时间节点公开“由蓝转绿”。

三 | 若王惠美真的彻底倒向绿营，她不过是把二十多年前嘉义那一幕，在彰化重演一遍。2000年国民党内斗致“连宋分裂”，嘉义“林派”掌门人陈明文以“在党内无出头之日”为由退出国民党，转投民进党后拿下县长宝座。岛内舆论此后把地方实力派“带枪投靠”敌营，称作“陈明文模式”。其后张花冠接力，嘉义县“蓝天变绿地”至今二十余年未回头，正是这一模式的延续。

四 |     彰化是“六都”之外全台人口第一大县，也是“中台湾”蓝营腹地的最后闸门。如今闸门从内松动：大佬离心、派系互咬、候选人弱势、党主席压不住盘。若王惠美真把基本盘半送给民进党对手，输掉的不仅是一席县长，更是国民党在“中彰投”纵轴的关键支点。    一个靠蓝营资源坐稳八年县长的人，临下车前把车钥匙塞给对手，这不是“务实”，是赤裸裸的功利套利。国民党若连这种背叛都拦不住、罚不起、讲不清，那么下一个“王惠美”，只会比上一个“陈明文”走得更顺、更无声，也更难回头。

五 | （记者 吴生林）。

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